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    With Us or Against Us

    Page 26
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    be linked to a group of 19 Saudis who were being sought by the gov-

      ernment for their involvement in a suspected terrorist plot disrupted

      by Saudi police just days before the May 12 bombings. Sa’d al-Faqih’s

      website published selections from what purported to be a statement

      by the 19 suspects on May 12, the same day as the bombings. That

      statement accused the Saudi regime of having lost whatever Islamic

      legitimacy it once had because of its cooperation with the United

      States “in making war on the Muslims of Afghanistan and Iraq.” It

      went on to say that killing Saudi leaders was legitimate, because they

      “were in the line of the Jews and the Christians.”28

      A telling sign of divisions within the salafi movement is the debate

      that emerged within Saudi Arabia over an overture by some salafis

      toward “dialogue” with Western intellectuals. The genesis of this

      overture was a statement published by a number of prominent American

      intellectuals shortly after the attacks of 9/11 entitled “What We’re

      Fighting For.”29 It set out a defense of Western liberal values and the

      right of self-defense in the face of the 9/11 attacks. In response, Saudi

      intellectuals, including many prominent salafis (e.g., Safar al-Hawali,

      ‘Ayd al-Qarni, Muhammad al-Fawzan, Muhsin al-‘Awaji) published a

      response entitled “How We Can Coexist.”30 The signatories “welcome

      dialogue and exchange,” and acknowledge that there are “mutually

      beneficial relationships and common interests between the Muslim

      world and the West.” However, the bulk of the statement is highly

      critical of American (and, more generally, Western) policies, not only

      with regard to Israel but more generally in the region. The signatories

      contend that “policies of conflict in the West are bringing about

      the destruction of civil security throughout the world in the fame of

      * * *

      Saudi Perceptions of the United States

      149

      fighting terrorism . . . [I]t is important for the West to realize that

      civil security in the Islamic World has not seen stability for decades and

      a lot of the impediments to civil security have come about under the

      umbrella of Western policy and quite possibly due to the direct actions

      of the West.”

      This was hardly a statement of common ground with American

      policy toward the Middle East and the Muslim world. However, the

      signatories were criticized by some Saudi salafis for being too will-

      ing to engage in dialogue with the West. In a statement entitled

      “The Alternative Statement” circulated in the Kingdom, the attacks

      of 9/11 were justified on the basis that, from Hiroshima through

      Israel’s response to the Palestinian intifada through sanctions on

      Iraq, American policy has deliberately targeted civilians for attack.

      The “Statement” said that it was the obligation of Islam to domi-

      nate the world, and that conflict between Islam and the West is

      inevitable: “those who wish to turn this confrontation into a peaceful

      dialogue will not succeed.” The Statement viewed the attacks of 9/11

      as an effort to redress the imbalance of forces in that confrontation.

      It concluded saying that it would take another such attack for the

      United States to learn its lesson. The only course by which dialogue

      is possible with the “West” is if the United States reverses its policies

      in the Middle East, apologizes for the past and pays compensation to

      Muslims for its past crimes.31

      With the American focus on confronting Iraq, which accelerated

      in the fall of 2002, those in the Saudi salafi trend advocating dia-

      logue with the West became even more critical of American policy,

      and implicitly of the Saudi relationship with the United States. In

      November 2002, 209 Islamist activists published a petition in the

      London-based Arabic newspaper al-Quds al-‘Arabi condemning

      American policy toward Iraq. Of the 209 signatories, 160 were from

      Saudi Arabia, including Salman al-Awda and Muhsin al-‘Awaji. Much

      like the earlier “How We Can Coexist,” this document did not posit

      an unalterable confrontation between Islam and the West, or support

      a bin Laden interpretation of jihad. The signatories called on Muslim

      youth to avoid violence, and on religious leaders to “spread moderation

      in the ‘umma, and the middle way (al-tawassut) and tolerance based

      on the correct interpretation of the message of Islam.” They made

      a special plea to those in the United States “who are supporters of

      justice, lovers of peace and opponents of war” to stand against American

      policy.

      However, their criticism of the American stand on Iraq was harsh.

      They said that “the insistence of the American administration on

      * * *

      150

      F . Gregory Gause, III

      using force and hostility toward the states of the region brings to

      mind the Crusader campaigns and the era of colonialism . . . Just as

      those ages opened the gates of jihad and just resistance and ended

      with the destruction of the hostile Crusader forces of evil, so any form

      of aggression against the ‘umma or contempt for it will open the

      gates of jihad and legitimate just resistance which will end in the

      destruction of the attacking Crusader and Zionist forces of evil, by

      the will of God.” They saw American aims as going far beyond Iraq,

      to “destroy the Muslim identity of the ‘umma, spread American

      culture in the region, control its oil and non-oil resources” as well as

      support Israel and put an end to the Palestinian intifada. The signato-

      ries called on Muslim government to oppose the American interven-

      tion, and to build stronger relations with the countries of Europe and

      East Asia as an alternative to reliance on the United States.32 Even

      among those who accept the need for dialogue with the West, oppo-

      sition to American policy in the region continued to grow as the crisis

      of 9/11 led to the crisis over Iraq.

      It is difficult to judge the extent of support within Saudi Arabia, or

      even within the salafi trend there, for either the call for dialogue with the

      West or the criticism of it. We know the outline of the debate, but not

      the relation of forces on either side of it. It is also important to recognize

      that the salafi trend is not the only factor in political discourse in the

      Kingdom. While much less organized than the salafis, and with access to

      fewer institutional resources, there are other currents of thought in the

      country, almost all of which are more open to the “dialogue of

      civilizations” than the salafi critics are (though many are very critical of

      U.S. policy in the Middle East themselves).33 In fact, there was some-

      thing of a popular backlash against the religious establishment in the

      spring of 2002, following a fire at a girls’ school in Mecca in which a

      number of the students died. Saudi religious police reportedly impeded

      rescue efforts, to prevent the girls from being seen unveiled. They were

      severely criticized in the Saudi media, and the event led the Saudi gov-

      ernment to remove control of the female e
    ducation system from the

      Special Presidency for Girls’ Education, dominated by the religious

      establishment, to the Ministry of Education. The May 2003 bombings

      also elicited a considerable number of denunciations of the Islamist

      monopoly on political discourse in the country from more liberal Saudis.

      Conclusion: Does it Mean Anything?

      All indications point to relatively high levels of anti-American feeling

      in Saudi Arabia in the period after the attacks of 9/11, with the

      * * *

      Saudi Perceptions of the United States

      151

      prospect of war against Iraq serving to intensify those feelings among

      many in the country. The roots of these feelings vary considerably,

      from a relatively simple rejection of American support for Israel to a

      deep-seated, religiously based rejection of dialogue with non-Muslims.

      But the widespread nature of these feelings cannot be denied. The

      Saudi government itself recognizes this fact. Saudi officials from

      Crown Prince Abdallah down have emphasized repeatedly that they

      see the Saudi–American relationship as solid and unshakeable. The

      Saudi government has taken a number of steps aimed at improving

      the atmosphere in the relationship, from the Crown Prince’s peace

      initiative on the Arab–Israeli front (revealed to New York Times

      columnist Thomas Friedman, a harsh critic of Saudi Arabia after 9/11)

      through his visit to President Bush’s ranch in Texas and his open letter

      to President Bush on the first anniversary of the attacks, to his January

      2003 initiative in the Arab League to put the organization on record

      in favor of greater political and economic openness in Arab countries.

      While these steps are largely aimed at improving the public view of

      Saudi Arabia in the United States, they are also a signal to Saudi public

      opinion that there are limits to the amount of anti-Americanism at

      home that the regime will tolerate. Elite intellectuals close to the regime

      have picked up on these signals, with a number of articles appearing in

      August 2002 arguing that a complete break with the world’s only

      superpower will not serve Saudi, Arab, or Muslim interests.34

      The question then presents itself: do these widespread public feel-

      ings of anti-Americanism make any difference on the policy level? I

      argue they do, but indirectly. The Saudi regime is sufficiently insu-

      lated from public pressures that it would not abandon its ties to the

      United States simply in reaction to public opinion. In a situation

      where it saw its own direct interests threatened, the Al Sa’ud would

      ignore public opinion and cooperate openly with the United States, as

      was the case with the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990. However, the

      Al Sa’ud realize better than outsiders that their public is increasingly

      educated, urban, and informed about the world, and thus more readily

      “politicized” than might have been the case in the past.35 In cases

      where there immediate security is not at risk, the Saudi leadership will

      pay more attention to that public opinion. The fact that the leadership

      so publicly disassociated itself from the immediate American reaction

      to 9/11, by denying the United States the right to use Saudi bases

      for attacks on Afghanistan (at least publicly), and from American

      policy on Arab–Israeli questions is an indication that public opinion,

      while not determinative, is increasingly important in the Saudi policy

      process.

      * * *

      152

      F . Gregory Gause, III

      The tensions between the United States and Saudi Arabia since

      9/11 have highlighted an uncomfortable truth about the relationship

      that dates back to its very beginnings. On neither side is there a strong

      public constituency for the relationship. It is a relationship between

      elites, based on very clear understandings of mutual interest. There is

      no sentiment in it. The myths propagated by those whose business it

      is to maintain the relationship ring hollow once exposed to public

      scrutiny. Each country is the perfect foil for publicists and propagan-

      dists in the other country, culturally and politically. Will the relation-

      ship end soon? No. Those interests that tie the elites together are very

      strong. But public opinion trends on both sides constrain the rela-

      tionship. It will not get closer. More likely, it will revert to something

      like the level of the pre-1990 period: close and cooperative, but less

      publicly close on the military level, with greater political distance

      between Riyadh and Washington. It is on oil that the relationship

      began, and it will be on oil that the relationship will, in the future,

      revolve. If there comes a breaking point between Saudi Arabia and the

      United States, it will not be from public opinion pressures on either

      side, but rather on fundamentally different conceptions of how the

      Saudis should use their “oil power” in the world market.

      Notes

      1. Poll cited in Dr. James J. Zogby, “New poll shows damage

      done,” December 24, 2001. Accessed via “Gulf Wire,” e-newsletter,

      www.arabialink.com.

      2. As late as December 2001, Saudi Interior Minister Prince Na’if ibn Abd al-

      Aziz Al Sa’ud told an American reporter: “Until now, we have no evidence

      that assures us that they [Saudis on board the airplanes] are related to Sept.

      11. We have not received anything in this regard from the United States.”

      Douglas Jehl, “Saudi minister asserts that bin Laden is a ‘Tool’ of

      Al Qaeda, not its mastermind,” New York Times, December 10, 2001.

      It was not until February 2002 that Prince Na’if publicly admitted that

      Saudis were involved in the attacks. “15 of 19 Suicide Hijackers were

      Saudi,” Associated Press, February 6, 2002.

      3. For one example, see Karen DeYoung, “Saudis seethe over media reports

      on anti-terror effort,” Washington Post, November 6, 2001.

      4. The quote is taken from a long article about Abdallah’s letter and

      U.S.–Saudi relations before 9/11: Sulayman Nimr, “qisat al-rasa’il

      al-mutabadil bayn al-amir abd allah wa bush,” al-Hayat, November 6,

      2001, p. 7. For the first account in the Western press of Abdallah’s discus-

      sion of Saudi–American tensions before 9/11, see James M. Dorsey,

      “Saudi leader warns US mideast policy may force kingdom to review

      relationship,” Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2001.

      * * *

      Saudi Perceptions of the United States

      153

      5. This is the interpretation put forward in the Saudi account of the meeting

      conveyed in the al-Hayat article referenced above.

      6. For an account of such comments from a number of Saudi newspapers,

      see “ ‘amrika wa ‘al-‘irhab al-nifsi’ wa ‘ahdaf al-hamla al-‘askariyya,”

      al-Hayat, October 16, 2001, p. 6.

      7. Richard Burkholder, “The U.S. and the West—through Saudi eyes,”

      Gallup Tuesday Briefing, August 6, 2002, www.gallup.com/poll/tb/

      goverpubli/20020806.asp.

      8. “The 10 nation ‘Impressions of America’ poll report,” Zogby International,

      August 7, 2002, www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID�
    ��610.

      9. Elaine Sciolino, “Don’t weaken Arafat, Saudi warns Bush,” New York

      Times, January 27, 2002.

      10. An anecdotal account of such boycotts can be found in Neil MacFarquhar,

      “An anti-American boycott is growing in the Arab world,” New York

      Times, May 10, 2002. American exports to Saudi Arabia in the first

      half of 2002 were 30% lower than in 2001, the lowest level in 12 years.

      Roger Hardy, “Saudi-US trade plunges,” BBC, August 23, 2002, http://

      news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/middle_east/2213250.stm. Given the

      downturn in oil prices in the months immediately following the 9/11

      attacks, it is difficult to determine how much of the decline in American

      exports to Saudi Arabia is the result of consumer boycotts and how much

      is the result of more general economic factors.

      11. “Back Palestinians with words, not deeds says Naif,” Arab News (Jidda),

      April 6, 2002.

      12. The petition was published in al-Quds al-‘Arabi (London), April 20–21,

      2002, p. 4.

      13. A similar conclusion was reached by seasoned Middle East observer Eric

      Rouleau after his visit to the Kingdom following the attacks. See his “Trouble

      in the Kingdom,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 81, no. 4 (July/August 2002).

      14. “Saudi Grand Mufti condemns terrorist acts in U.S.,” September 15,

      2001, www.saudiembassy.net/press_release/press_release00.htm.

      15. Statement by H.E. Shaikh Salih bin Muhammad Al-Luheidan,

      Chairman of the Supreme Judicial Council of the Kingdom of

      Saudi Arabia, “Condemnation of Terrorism,” September 14, 2001,

      www.saudiembassy.net/press_release/01-spa/terrorism-01.htm.

      16. “al-minhaj al-salafi didd al-tayarat al-mughaliyya wa takfir al-‘afrad wa

      al-hukumat laysa min al-‘ islam,” al-Hayat, February 18, 2002, p. 10.

      17. “wali al-‘ahd al-sa’udi li kibar rijal al-din wa al-‘ulama: fi hadhihi al-‘ayyam

      al-‘asiba ‘alayna al-ta’ani wa tawdih al-haqa’iq,” al-Hayat, November 15,

      2001, p. 8.

      18. The leaves of absence were reported in James A. Dorsey, “Saudi leader

      seeks to rein in clergy,” Wall Street Journal, March 14, 2002, pp. A9,

      A12. The London-based Arabic newspaper al-Quds al-‘Arabi reported in

      an article published on February 1, 2002 that a number of imams had

     


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