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    With Us or Against Us

    Page 28
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      have no alternative but to buy Israeli products? Clearly, Palestinian

      Islamists give priority to the anti-Israeli struggle over an anti-American or

      an anti-Western perception: in Olivier Roy’s words, the Palestinian

      case illustrates the “nationalization of Islamism.”9

      I will conclude this section with the following paradoxical observa-

      tion. While Palestinian Islamists have dissociated themselves from

      campaign against the United States, the United States has associated

      itself with the Israeli campaign against the Islamists. By outlawing

      Hamas and Jihad under its antiterrorism fight, and cracking down on

      financial support from American Islamic organizations to Palestinian

      Islamists, the United States has upgraded local “terrorist” groups to

      the rank of “global” ones, which, however one looks at it, is neither a

      deserved honor nor a justified stigma.

      The Left and Secularist Activists

      The anti-Americanism—however mild—of the Palestinian Islamists

      is clearer in comparison to the more accommodating line taken by

      the secularists, including Fatah cadres, and those on the left among

      Palestinian activists. It is interesting to note here that this was not the

      case historically. In the 1960s and 1970s, the Palestinian resistance

      organizations considered themselves as part of the third world anti-

      imperialism. Some of these organizations, like the PFLP, argued that

      instead of hitting the protégé, it was more efficient to hit the head.

      Hijacking, anti-American operations, and operational alliances with other

      movements, took place. Three important characteristics of the earlier

      period should be noted:

      1. The Palestinian armed organizations were not inside Palestine, but

      in the neighboring Arab countries; this means that there was as

      much incentive to strike Israeli or U.S. targets all over the world,

      such as planes and embassies, as to carry out operations against

      Israeli-controlled territory.

      2. The Soviet Union, while distancing itself from the modus operandi

      of the Palestinian armed organizations, was not, in most cases,

      disturbed by their anti-imperialist, anti-American drive.

      * * *

      162

      C amille Mansour

      3. Jordan and later Lebanon provided a safe haven, or sanctuary, for

      Palestinian armed organizations, insofar as the host state was inca-

      pable of controlling them. A similar situation evolved much later in

      Afghanistan, when the Taliban government, far from being able to

      control Al Qaeda, was controlled by it. Jordan in the late 1960s,

      Lebanon in the 1970s, and Afghanistan in the 1990s show that

      transnational political violence by non-state actors can only be

      sustained when these actors operate from a territory that is not

      sufficiently controlled by its government.10

      For the Palestinian left and the secularist activists, however, the

      situation in the 1990s bore little resemblance to the earlier decades.

      The three characteristics of the regional and international environ-

      ment that helped explain their recourse to transnational violence no

      longer existed. First, Palestinian resistance organizations no longer

      had a sanctuary after their withdrawal from Lebanon in 1982, not

      even in Syria (simplistic propaganda notwithstanding). Second, anti-

      American and anti-imperialist slogans became obsolete after the

      demise of the Soviet Union. Third, the Intifada and the Madrid-Oslo

      process made the West Bank and Gaza—rather than Amman, Beirut,

      or Tunis—the center of the Palestinian polity. While the secular

      activists, including the Fatah, and part of the left were among the first

      returnees, many PFLP and DFLP cadres, who had opposed the

      Oslo agreements from Damascus, gradually became reconciled to

      the new situation and arranged for their return to the Palestinian

      territories. Thus, both the push and pull factors of the 1980s and

      1990s worked against Palestinian political violence outside the

      Israeli–Palestinian territory and in favor of integration into a process

      conducted by the Palestinian leadership and involving a will to settle

      the conflict with Israel through peaceful negotiations and American

      assistance.

      However, as we shall see in the next section, the hopes placed in

      the Oslo process faded in the late 1990s. With the outbreak of

      the Palestinian–Israeli confrontation in September 2000, secularist

      and leftist activists were progressively drawn from participating in

      unarmed popular demonstrations against the Israeli army, to shoot-

      ing against the Israelis, and finally to suicide attacks inside Israel.

      Not only was hitting U.S. interests off their agenda, but they—and

      the governing elite—now had a pragmatist, instrumental approach

      to the potential role of the United States in the Palestinian–Israeli

      accommodation.

      * * *

      The Palestinian Perception of America

      163

      The Palestinian Leadership

      The Oslo process and the establishment of the Palestinian authority in

      the West Bank and Gaza have had important effects on Palestinian-

      U.S. relations. The Oslo agreements opened the way for Israel to sign

      a treaty with Jordan and to establish ties of differing importance with

      a number of Arab countries. The centrality of the Palestinian question

      in the Arab world became, perhaps, more operational than ideological.

      Whatever the ups and downs of Palestinian–Israeli relations between

      1994 and 2000, Palestinian–American contacts intensified. For the

      Clinton administration, relations with the Palestinians became an impor-

      tant component of U.S. policy in the region and acquired a strategic

      dimension because of their impact on Israel’s place in the region. This

      relationship, likewise, compensated for any negative effect that

      U.S. policy toward Iraq could have on Arab perceptions.

      As for the Palestinian leadership, now that it had gained American

      recognition and an open door to the White House, nurturing the

      relationship became vital. This does not mean that it had any illu-

      sions about weakening U.S.-Israeli ties, but, at least, it thought that

      by maintaining intensive contacts with the U.S. administration, it

      could involve Washington in the minutiae of the Palestinian–Israeli

      relations in such a way as to give the administration a stake in a suc-

      cessful outcome of the final negotiations. Certainly, the Palestinian

      left would have argued that it was unrealistic to count on American

      pressure to get Israel to halt settlement building, for example, but

      neither the Palestinian left nor the intellectuals criticized the develop-

      ment of Palestinian-U.S. ties. A positive image of the United States

      emerged on the Palestinian street, and this reached a climax in December

      1998 with President Clinton’s visit to Gaza.

      It is possible that Bill Clinton became so entangled in the minutiae

      of Palestinian–Israeli negotiations that he came to want a successful

      outcome by the end of his term (January 2001) at any price. And suc-

      cess at any price meant ignoring the situat
    ion that had developed

      on the ground in the West Bank and Gaza: expansion of the settle-

      ments, mounting Israeli restrictions on Palestinians in their daily lives,

      Palestinian loss of confidence in a fair negotiated outcome, and so on

      and misrepresenting the gap between the negotiating positions of the

      two sides. It was on this basis that he hastily convened the Camp

      David summit in July 2000 in the conviction (or at least the hope)

      that the weaker party, the Palestinians, would bend to pressures.

      When this did not occur (though there was a real narrowing of the

      * * *

      164

      C amille Mansour

      gap), Clinton immediately put the blame on the Palestinian side. This

      signaled the start of the downward slope in U.S.-Palestinian relations.

      This is not the place to analyze the reasons behind the failure of

      Camp David negotiations in July 200011 or to deal with the unfolding

      Palestinian–Israeli confrontation, which broke out in September 2000.12

      I will deal only with those elements that are necessary to understand

      how the Palestinian leadership, in the conduct of its affairs, perceived

      the role of America, first in the transition between the Clinton and

      George W. Bush presidencies, and then after 9/11. During the last

      three months of the Clinton administration, when the Intifada con-

      sisted mainly of popular demonstrations against the Israeli military

      (which already, during that period, exacted a heavy toll in Palestinian

      lives), the Palestinian leadership tried to get Washington to recognize

      Israel’s responsibility for the confrontation and requested the estab-

      lishment of an international commission of enquiry. The Palestinian

      objective was to improve their negotiating position on the final status

      issues and to internationalize the path to a settlement by involving

      other actors than Israel and the United States. In November, Clinton

      acceded to the demand concerning the commission by constituting a

      watered-down fact-finding committee under U.S. auspices and the

      chairmanship of George Mitchell. Shortly thereafter, in December, he

      presented to the two sides his “Parameters” for a final settlement,

      which significantly improved, from the Palestinian point of view, what

      was on the table at Camp David. However, in terms of the internal

      calendars in Washington and Tel Aviv, it was too late. Bush replaced

      Clinton in January 2001 and Sharon was elected prime minister in

      early February.

      Initially, the Palestinian leadership was not unhappy with George

      Bush’s election as president. Encouraged by the Saudis, the Palestinians

      thought that Saudi influence could be brought to bear on an admin-

      istration whose pillar was the pro-Republican oil lobby. Very early,

      however, it became clear that the Republicans, who had an interest in

      the Gulf area, were driven by the idea that as long the Palestinian–

      Israeli confrontation did not spill over into the region, there was no

      reason to intervene. The Palestinians also soon realized that the neocon-

      servatives, the other pillar of Bush’s administration, were against any

      “nation-building” intervention as a matter of general principle and

      had a pro-Sharon bias. Finally, the Palestinian leadership could not

      help noticing that both groups wanted the new administration to dif-

      ferentiate itself from its predecessor’s active approach. This was

      expressed by the Administration’s formal abandonment of the Clinton

      peace parameters no later than two days after Sharon’s election, its

      * * *

      The Palestinian Perception of America

      165

      insistence that Arafat make a 100-percent effort (impossible to measure

      in any case) to end Palestinian violence as a condition before any

      meeting with the American president, and its support of Israeli Prime

      Minister Sharon’s definition of violence and conditions for a ceasefire

      after the publication of the Mitchell Commission’s Report in April 2001

      (thereby condoning, in effect, the Israeli battering ram tactics against

      the Palestinians).

      It is necessary, at this point, to summarize the Palestinian leader-

      ship’s attitude toward the militarization of the Intifada, because this is

      intimately related to its relations with the U.S. administration. I have

      explained elsewhere13 that the leadership—because of the constraints

      imposed by its dual nature (a quasi-state structure and a national lib-

      eration movement), the restrictions on its territorial jurisdiction, and

      fears for its own survival—acted as the “overseer” of the uprising rather

      than as its “general staff.” This meant, from a declarative standpoint:

      asserting that the root of violence lay with Israel even while carefully

      refraining from referring to Israel as the enemy; remaining silent when

      actions by different Palestinian groups were undertaken against the

      Israeli occupying army, while condemning suicide operations and reit-

      erating each time its opposition to the killing of civilians, whether

      Israeli or Palestinian. From a practical standpoint, the overseer approach

      meant arbitrating between different Palestinian activist groups, letting

      things happen, and seriously intervening in favor of a cease-fire only

      when absolutely necessary and when significant backing from the

      Palestinian population could be expected. The reasoning behind the

      approach was that as long as Israel (or at least Washington) did not

      compensate the Palestinian leadership with a tangible reward relating

      to the peace process, the Palestinian leadership would not be in a position

      to control the street.

      The Bush administration’s lack of interest in an Israeli–Palestinian

      peace process, its permissiveness concerning Israeli military measures

      in the West Bank and Gaza, and the gap between the administration

      and the Palestinian leadership on the cause of the violence show that

      a low ebb in Palestinian–American relations predates the 9/11 attacks

      on New York and Washington. However, when the attacks occurred,

      the Palestinian leadership very quickly understood their implications:

      on the one hand, fears that the neoconservative argument describing

      all forms of Palestinian struggle against occupation as “terrorism” (and

      thus lumping it indiscriminately with Al Qaeda) would be strength-

      ened, and, on the other hand, hopes that the viewpoint of Secretary of

      State Colin Powell would prevail, according to which America would

      need calm in the Middle East and Arab support in order to focus on

      * * *

      166

      C amille Mansour

      identifying, locating, and pursuing those directly responsible for the

      attacks. At this delicate juncture, Arafat hastened to line up behind

      Washington and tried to calm the situation on the ground. He was

      keen to show that he held one of the keys for American access to the

      Middle East (in terms of influencing how America is seen in Arab

      opinion) and that he knew how to use this key positively and unhesi-

      tatingly (ahead of Egypt’s Mubarak, for instance, who was far more

      reticent). This app
    roach seemed to bear some fruit, as testified by the

      administration’s displeasure with an Israeli attempt to escalate in the

      two or three days following 9/11, considered as a cynical exploitation

      of the tragedy, pressure on Tel Aviv for a cease-fire, and hints that

      there would be movement toward a Palestinian state.

      In mid-October, the Palestinian leadership could claim that its

      status in Washington, while lagging very much behind its level during

      the Clinton era, was better after 9/11 than it was before. However,

      several factors quickly shattered this optimism: the seemingly easy vic-

      tory against the Taliban and bin Laden’s forces in Afghanistan, thus

      silencing those in Washington who claimed that America needed the

      support of Arab and Islamic countries; the tilt in the internal power

      struggle in favor of the neoconservatives; the affirmation by the latter,

      now virulent unilateralists allied with Christian fundamentalists, of an

      arrogant imperial America ready to fashion regimes sympathetic to

      America and to combat terrorism everywhere, especially in Muslim-

      inhabited areas. In the Palestinian–Israeli arena, the triggering event

      that gave the upper hand to the alliance between American neocon-

      servatives and Ariel Sharon was the assassination (October 17) of an

      Israeli minister of the extreme right, Rehavam Ze’evi, an outspoken

      advocate of transferring the Palestinians outside Palestine, by mem-

      bers of the PFLP in retaliation for Israel’s assassination of their leader,

      Abu Ali Mustafa. From that point on, Palestinian–U.S. relations

      witnessed an aggravating deterioration whose tempo appeared closely

      linked to the deterioration on the ground: targeted assassinations of

      Palestinians by Israel, suicide operations against civilians in Israel, closure

      of Palestinian towns and villages, shooting at Israeli soldiers and settlers,

      land grabs by and for Israeli settlers, and, finally, reoccupation of the

      entire West Bank and parts of the Gaza Strip.

      Many observers have argued that the Palestinian leadership, what-

      ever the merits of its case, failed to grasp the gravity of the 9/11 shock

      on America and the almost absolute American tendency to view any

      Palestinian violence as terrorism, and thus failed to take all the meas-

     


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