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    With Us or Against Us

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      precisely for that reason that Central Europeans, anxious to preserve

      it, started to compete for the title of the most devoted ally of the

      * * *

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      J acques Rupnik

      United States. Both attitudes to the United States, thus, have to do

      with different responses to the post–Cold War realignments in Europe

      and post-9/11 assertion of American power on the international

      scene. The contrasting perceptions of America in Western and East-

      Central Europe can usefully be analyzed by focusing on the three

      main pillars not of wisdom, but of anti-Americanism in France with its

      three facets: fear (of power), resentment (of the American economic

      model and contempt (of mass culture)):8

      1. Opposing attitudes toward the centrality of American power in

      the post–Cold War world. The differences over the future of

      NATO and its American leadership are among the extensions

      of that divide.

      2. Contrasting attitudes toward the U.S.-led globalization drive and

      the relevance in that context of an “Anglo-Saxon” (i.e., free market)

      socioeconomic model seen as a threat to the continental European

      welfare state in Western Europe and as an inspiration for the

      dismantling of the legacy of communist étatisme, East of the Elbe.

      3. There are also different responses to the penetration of American

      mass culture and lifestyles and its implications for the national (or

      European) identity.

      American “Hyperpower” or the

      “Indispensable Nation?”

      After the end of the Cold War, small is beautiful, big is powerful, and

      medium size has become uncomfortable. That certainly seems to be

      the case of France, which has lost some of the room for maneuver it

      used to enjoy during the Cold War era. France found itself at odds

      with the “unipolar moment” as Charles Krauthamer described it, and

      pleaded, under Mitterrand as under Chirac, for a multipolar world.

      The Iraqi crisis simply accentuated a trend that was already well estab-

      lished. As an illustration, one can turn to the leaders (and more

      broadly to the editorial policy) of Le Monde. Its editor, Jean-Marie

      Colombani, the author of the famous “We are all Americans” in

      the immediate aftermath of 9/11, had earlier written a front-page

      piece entitled “Arrogances américaines”9 where he defined some of

      the main features of French resentment of American power. First,

      “What was supposed to be a ‘new international’ order is nothing but

      a hegemony, the claim to a monopoly, that of the United States.”

      * * *

      America’s Best Friends in Europe

      97

      Second, American foreign policy, a mix of power and parochialism,

      “should avoid running the planet according to the whims of this or

      that lobby or the moods of Senator Helms.”10 Third, unilateralism and

      the reliance on force as opposed to negotiation and the legitimacy

      of the international community. The thought that the latter was effec-

      tive sometimes thanks to the threat of the former (as the Balkan wars

      demonstrated) did not cross the mind of the director of France’s leading

      newspaper.

      The important thing here, however, is that the basic arguments

      against American unilateralism and the quest in the UN and in the

      E.U. of counterweights to it, pre-dates 9/11 and the Bush adminis-

      tration. It has gradually developed a European dimension through the

      E.U. countries’ involvement in a number of multilateral efforts opposed

      by the United States. Among the most widely publicized were: the

      signing in December 1977 in Ottawa of the landmine treaty (opposed

      by the United States but also Russia and China), the Kyoto environ-

      mental treaty on the measures against global warming in 1998, the

      creation of an International Criminal Court, which is supported by all

      E.U. countries and opposed by the United States, demanding exemp-

      tions from prosecution for U.S. nationals.

      The Iraqi crisis at the beginning of 2003 and the Franco-German

      opposition to the concept of a preventive war without the legitimacy

      of a UN mandate is to be understood in terms of the cumulative effect

      of accumulated grievances on both sides. The German chancellor’s

      refusal to participate in any “adventure” (intervention in Iraq) and to

      write any checks to pay for it, and the European public’s opposition

      to the war only emboldened the French to move one notch higher

      from Hubert Védrine’s formula “amis, alliés, mais pas alignés.”11 The

      Franco-German partnership in opposing U.S. policy on Iraq seemed

      to give substance to the emergence of a “Euro-Gaullist” posture, an

      attempt to see Europe as a counterweight to U.S. power and leader-

      ship in matters of foreign and security policy. That is precisely where

      the East European newcomers to the Atlantic alliance parted ways with

      France and Germany.

      Why are the Central Europeans “Pro-American?”

      If the centrality of American power is a concern to “old Europeans” in

      France and Germany, it certainly is not seen as a problem by East-

      Central Europeans. They (particularly the Poles) consider that it was

      Ronald Reagan’s confrontation with the “evil empire,” rather than

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      J acques Rupnik

      West European emphasis on détente and Ostpolitik that contributed

      most to the demise of the Soviet system. The Cold War years have

      reinforced their commitment to the transatlantic bond, which, in con-

      trast, is being eroded in West European perceptions since 1990. They

      feel European because they belong to the West,12 while the French or

      the Germans belong to the West because they are Europeans. The two

      Europes are out of sync in their attitudes toward the implications

      of the end of the Cold War. In West European eyes, the Eastern

      Americanophilia is, at best, an anachronism. In East-Central Europe,

      Franco-German challenge to American leadership is seen as a reckless

      undermining of their security.

      They closely associate their security with NATO and the U.S. pres-

      ence on the continent. The French may be concerned about a unipolar

      world; the East Europeans have no nostalgia for a bipolar one. It

      stems from a certain reading of history that could be summarized as

      follows: after World War I, the United States had left the old conti-

      nent, which did not bode well for Europe, particularly its Eastern

      part. After World War II, the United States stayed on, which allowed

      at least half of Europe to remain free and prepare for the emancipation

      of the Eastern part of the continent. In this way the United States can

      be seen as protecting Europe against the demons of its past.13 In East-

      Central Europe, there is a widespread distrust of collective security

      and of pacifism identified since Munich with the appeasement of dic-

      tators. Paris would like to restrain American power, while Budapest,

      Prague, or Warsaw would point out that the UN failed to restrain

      anything in 1956, 1968, or 1981, let alone in Afghanistan or Bosnia.

      Among the three
    main modes of management of the international sys-

      tem (hegemony, collective security/multilateralism, and balance of

      power), the West Europeans nowadays tend to prefer the second

      while the East Europeans do not mind the first, so long as it is “benev-

      olent.” As for “balancing” American power with a Paris–Berlin–

      Moscow diplomatic axis, it is enough to raise Poland’s fears of a

      “new Rappallo.”

      Beyond the lessons of history, there are the lessons from the

      Balkans. The Common Foreign and Security Policy of the E.U. was

      nowhere to be seen in the 1990s and it was eventually a U.S.-led

      military intervention under a NATO umbrella that put an end to ethnic

      cleansing in Bosnia and Kosovo. NATO, therefore, remains the only

      security guarantee in the eyes of the former Eastern bloc newcomers

      because it involves U.S. “hard security” capability. The E.U. is seen as

      a “soft security” institution; definitely not a substitute for American

      power. This act of faith is repeated all the more loudly as doubts have

      * * *

      America’s Best Friends in Europe

      99

      appeared in recent years over the American commitment to NATO.

      On the eve of its first enlargement in 1999 (Poland, Hungary, the

      Czech Republic), there were three main views about the future of the

      Alliance. The U.S. approach was summed up by the formula “out

      of area or out of business.” The French priority was to build a

      “European Defense Identity.” The Central Europeans wanted to

      “end the uncertainty”14 about their geopolitical status, and would not

      have minded sticking to the old, well-tried formula of the first secretary

      general of NATO, who defined its purpose as “to keep the Americans

      in, the Russians out and the Germans down.” Hence, the great anxi-

      ety on the part of the new members to see, after 9/11, the erosion of

      American interest in the Atlantic alliance. Partnership with Putin’s

      Russia and coalitions of the willing became Washington’s priority in

      the “war on terrorism.” There, the French and other West Europeans

      saw a confirmation of the declining relevance of the Alliance. Fearing

      this and a strategic downgrading of East-Central Europe, the new-

      comers to NATO tried to compensate by an even closer alignment

      with the positions of the United States. That meant refitting NATO

      for the new U.S. strategic doctrine: “out of area” now meant “out of

      Europe,”15 to follow America in the Middle-East in order to preserve

      its involvement in Middle Europe.

      In the contest for the most loyal ally of Washington—at the very

      moment when old Europe marked its distance—Poland was certainly

      difficult to beat. The Iraqi crisis provided the Bush loyalty test, which

      the French and Germans failed in contrast to the sometimes-overzealous

      East Europeans. When President Kwasniewski said, “If it is

      President Bush’s vision, it is mine”16 one could not help thinking that

      old habits of obedience die hard. Interestingly, the most committed to

      support the American leadership and the war in Iraq were the veterans

      of Soviet bloc communism such as Poland’s premier, Leszek Miller

      and Romania’s president, Ion Illiescu.17 Interestingly enough, both

      (and their parties in Parliament) had opposed the U.S.-led interven-

      tion in Kosovo in the spring of 1999. They are now in office and, in

      the contest between old Europe and America, they chose, quite prag-

      matically, the most powerful. This provides a double advantage: the

      completion of the political laundering of the ex-communists as

      respectable democrats now receiving from Washington the title of the

      most trusted allies on one hand, and the prospect (at least the hope)

      of more tangible dividends on the other. Warsaw hopes that it might

      entice the Americans to move their military bases from ungrateful

      Germany to welcoming Poland. Romania and Bulgaria have provided

      their military bases on the Black Sea as a substitute for the defection

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      100

      J acques Rupnik

      of Turkey18 and hope that they will become permanent. Whether or

      not the idea of the substitution of Germany and Turkey, the two

      major post-war pivot of U.S. political and military presence in

      Europe, with Poland and Romania is a wise move from the U.S. point

      of view, it certainly is seen as a major strategic asset in Warsaw and

      Bucharest.

      Indeed, throughout the 1990s, Poland’s policy has been gradually

      to “swing firmly into Washington’s orbit.”19 The Polish foreign

      minister defined the goal as “strengthening Poland’s position as the

      United States principal partner in the region and a major player in

      Europe as well. It is in our national interest to ensure continued U.S.

      presence in Europe and commitment to its affairs.”20 Historically,

      Poland’s geopolitical predicament was between Russia and Germany.

      Now it is between the United States and Europe. It hopes, after a long

      eclipse, to have returned to the fore of the European political scene

      using its American connection (including an occupation zone in Iraq)

      as a leverage within the E.U. It is just possible that Poland has not

      fully measured the extent to which it was also being used by the

      United States not just for the purpose of “cherry picking” among

      Europeans but also explicitly for the purpose of dilution or even

      “disaggregation” of the European Union.21 Such an outcome would,

      of course, be disastrous for Poland as for the other Central Europeans

      now joining the E.U. in the hope that it would do for them in terms

      of economic modernization, what it has so successfully done for

      Southern Europe in the previous two decades. In siding with the

      United States, the Central Europeans give primacy to what they see

      as a strategic priority but certainly not their long-term economic

      interests.

      Beyond the foreign policy realignments of newly sovereign states

      and pure pragmatism of ex-communist politicians, there is another

      distinct brand of Americanophilia—that of the former dissident intel-

      lectuals. It recognizes America’s “democratic mission” in bringing

      down dictatorships: just as the United States contributed to the down-

      fall of communism, it can today contribute to that of other brands of

      totalitarianism.

      In the 1980s, Timothy Garton Ash had in an essay defined Central

      Europe’s new politics through three leading intellectual figures involved

      in the dissident movement: Vaclav Havel in the Czech Republic, Adam

      Michnik in Poland, and György Konrad in Hungary. Interestingly, the

      three adepts of nonviolent change in Central Europe have supported

      the American war in Iraq in the name of democratic “regime change.”

      Havel signed the “letter of the eight” on his last day in office,22

      * * *

      America’s Best Friends in Europe

      101

      Michnik joined the Washington-based Committee to Liberate Iraq,

      Konrad wrote in an article entitled “Why I support the war”: “The

      bringing down of a bloody tyrant can only
    be sympathetic to former

      dissidents.”23 In reply to a German critic who saw in the three

      ex-dissident intellectuals’ support for the war the latest illustration of

      the “betrayal of the intellectuals” (la trahison des clercs, to use Julien

      Benda’s phrase), Michnik pleaded for the support of the United States

      as politically and morally justified. In substance, a new totalitarian

      threat had replaced Eastern communism—the Islamic fundamentalist

      terror.24 Milan Simecka, a former Slovak dissident, now editor of the

      daily SME in Bratislava, called America a “dissident power” given its

      readiness to assert democratic values even alone against the rest of the

      world.25 Veton Suroi, editor of Koha Ditore in Prishtina, Kosovo,

      drew a parallel between the way the United States was ready to use

      force against Milosevic and the military intervention that brought

      down Saddam’s dictatorship.26 For the former dissidents, America

      remains the “indispensable nation” because it has kept alive its demo-

      cratic mission in the post–Cold War world. They do not seem to be

      deterred in their judgment by the shift from the concept of humani-

      tarian intervention of the 1990s to the logic of power that pre-

      vailed after 9/11, from what Samantha Power called “liberalism

      without power” of the Clinton era to “power without liberalism” under

      George Bush.27

      The fact that governments and intellectual elites have, to a large

      extent, provided support for the assertion of American power on the

      international scene should, however, be qualified by the diversity of

      views (the Soviet bloc has not been replaced by an American bloc) and

      by the great divide between elites and public opinion. This has been

      confirmed by a series of independent public opinion surveys, which

      show that East European candidate countries shared with the citizens

      of the member states a considerable reluctance to an American inter-

      vention in Iraq.28 Interestingly, their reluctance was even greater than

      that of E.U. member in the case Weapons of Mass Destruction were

      found in Iraq and a UN resolution was reached.29

      These data concerning the U.S. war in Iraq should be read against

      the background of other surveys conducted in 2002 and 2003 by

     


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